Rational Political Party: Embracing a Comprehensive Cost, Benefit, and Risk Evaluation Approach

In the realm of politics, there's a pressing need for a paradigm shift towards a more analytical and balanced approach. The Idea Stock Exchange principles of automated conflict resolution and cost-benefit analysis offer a pathway to rationalize political discourse.

#CostsBenefitsAndRisks Analysis for Balanced Policy Evaluation

  • Current political practices, often dominated by #Republican and #Democrat parties, tend to highlight the benefits of their policies while ignoring or downplaying the costs. This selective approach results in biased echo chambers and a lack of objective policy evaluation.

Leveraging Technology for Enhanced Political Decision-Making

  • By utilizing a platform where each policy's potential impacts are listed and debated, we can transcend biases. This involves a systematic evaluation of each cost and benefit, with arguments for their likelihood and impact rigorously ranked and linked to evidence.

Elevating Argument Quality and Linking Probabilities to Evidence

  • The Idea Stock Exchange's principles guide us to group similar arguments, avoiding duplication, and evaluate the strength of each argument's link to the policy conclusions. This method ensures a comprehensive and objective analysis.

Attaining Stability Through Comprehensive Evaluation

  • A stable and reliable understanding of policy impacts is achievable through a thorough vetting of arguments and counterarguments. By quantifying the likelihood and impact of each policy element, we can derive a more accurate picture of the overall effects.

Envisioning a New Political Party: Direct Democracy and Open Policy Evaluation

  • Inspired by Wikipedia's model of democratic information dissemination, this new political party would focus on direct citizen participation and transparent policy evaluation, prioritizing factual accuracy over partisan narratives.

#ElectronicDemocracy: The Future of Political Engagement

  • Embracing a model akin to Wikipedia for political decision-making could revolutionize the political landscape, fostering a more informed and rational approach to policy-making.

Conclusion

  • The proposed political party, grounded in the Idea Stock Exchange's principles, marks a shift towards a more analytical, transparent, and participatory political process. This approach emphasizes rational decision-making based on comprehensive cost, benefit, and risk analysis.

The Progress Party: Advancing through Collective Intelligence

Welcome to the Progress Party, where we strive to advance our society by not repeating the same parts of an argument in a disorganized, endless loop. Just imagine: no more rehashing the same points, no more going in circles, and no more wasting time on fruitless debates.

Instead, we promote a system where we continually add data that strengthens or weakens assumptions but without the constant need to re-prove that a specific argument is a logical fallacy.

Remember the story of Sisyphus? He was doomed to eternally roll a boulder up a hill, only for it to roll back down each time he reached the top. It's a cruel punishment, and one that parallels the experience of anyone who delves into the world of ideas today.

But what if we could secure that boulder at the top of the hill? What if we could prevent it from rolling back down? In other words, what if we could ensure that once we've logically, empirically, and collectively established a point, it stays established? That's what we're aiming for with the Progress Party.

We believe that the key to achieving this lies in harnessing Collective Intelligence. This is where platforms like Group Intel and Idea Stock Exchange come into play. These platforms are designed to facilitate open, transparent, and collective decision-making, underpinned by sound logic and evidence.

In this system, we all agree to abide by the scientific process, see what facts can be established, and what policies emerge as victors when we do an excellent job promoting sound logic and quashing emotional thinking and confirmation bias.

So, let's move beyond the realm of disorganized intuition and enter an era of organized, collective intelligence. Let's stop the endless, repetitive debates and start building on our shared knowledge and understanding. Let's create a future where our collective efforts push the boulder up the hill - and keep it there.

I welcome any and all feedback and suggestions for how we can continue to improve and refine our approach. Let's make progress together.


The Age of Wisdom: Sparking A Political Revolution

What if we could revolutionize the way we make decisions? Envision a world where feelings, anecdotes, and oversimplified stories no longer steer our society. Instead, we operate on cost-benefit analysis, carefully assessing the potential outcomes of our decisions. This is not a distant utopia, but the aim of a political party I wish to start.

Welcome to a new age where Collective Intelligence is king, and our obsession with Artificial Intelligence takes a backseat. It's high time that the internet lives up to its promise of bringing wisdom and intelligence to the world.

In this new era, every argument has a score, similar to the stock market. Imagine a platform, like Group Intel or Idea Stock Exchange, that continually improves pro and con arguments for each belief. This platform doesn't merely direct you to other people's websites, but provides you with the cost and benefits of each choice you might make.

This can be our new religion, a religion that worships Athena, the goddess of wisdom. Our service to her is to continually refine our arguments, to seek the truth in all things.

Imagine a future where wisdom spreads, where people stop using Google in favor of a more comprehensive, objective source of information. A future where all arguments are tied together, where we discover one shared truth.

Weakening an argument in this system automatically weakens all conclusions built on that argument. We won't duplicate arguments; we'll link them. We'll credit the first person to express each idea, and we'll acknowledge those who said it best, or in the shortest way.

We'll draw connections between beliefs and cultural expressions, outlining all the books, songs, poems, photos, and political cartoons that agree or disagree with each conclusion. By doing this, we'll bring data and the arts together.

This is how we fix our problems, how we act wisely, and how we prepare to conquer the universe armed with reason. This is how we ensure our confidence comes from understanding all sides of an argument, from doing the work and showing our math.

Artificial intelligence will be forced to agree with us because we have fully explained our conclusions. We've shown how arguments, assumptions, and data are all linked together.

For the past 22 years, I've dedicated all my spare time to thinking about this, and I know what we should do. I believe people would appreciate a political party that uses cost/benefit analysis to make its decisions. The question now is: how do we get it started?


  1. Logical Arguments:

    • The concept of collective intelligence has already been proven successful in other domains. Wikipedia, an open-source platform, is a prime example of collective intelligence that has yielded accurate and valuable information.
    • Cost-benefit analysis is a well-established decision-making tool in economics and business, known for its ability to provide clear and rational analysis. It stands to reason that this could also be applied to political decision-making.
  2. Supporting Evidence (data, studies):

    • Collective Intelligence: Research conducted by MIT’s Center for Collective Intelligence has found that groups can effectively solve complex problems when certain conditions are met.
    • Cost-Benefit Analysis: The World Bank and other international institutions have numerous studies highlighting the success of cost-benefit analysis in policy and project implementation.
  3. Supporting Books:

    • "The Wisdom of Crowds" by James Surowiecki
    • "The Cost-Benefit Revolution" by Cass R. Sunstein
  4. Supporting Videos:

    • TED Talk: "James Surowiecki: The power and the danger of online crowds"
    • Coursera's course on "Cost-Benefit Analysis" provides numerous videos explaining the concept in detail.
  5. Supporting Organizations and their Websites:

  6. Supporting Podcasts:

    • "The Indicator from Planet Money" has episodes discussing cost-benefit analysis.
    • "Freakonomics Radio" often explores themes related to collective decision-making and cost-benefit analysis.
  7. Unbiased Experts:

    • James Surowiecki, author of "The Wisdom of Crowds"
    • Cass R. Sunstein, author of "The Cost-Benefit Revolution"
  8. Benefits of Belief Acceptance (ranked by Maslow categories):

    • Physiological: Better policy-making can lead to improved public health and living conditions.
    • Safety: Enhanced decision-making processes can lead to safer communities and better resource allocation.
    • Love/Belonging: Encouraging collective decision-making can foster a sense of community and collaboration.
    • Esteem: Participation in the process can empower individuals, enhancing their self-esteem.
    • Self-Actualization: The pursuit of truth and wisdom through collective intelligence aligns with the goal of realizing one's full potential.

Political Parties: A Divisive Force in Democracy

In the United States, political parties have long been a staple of our democratic system. However, are they truly serving us, or are they more of a hindrance than a help? I invite you to embark on this exploration with me, and as we discuss these issues, I encourage you to dive deeper into the concepts of collective intelligence and a more beneficial decision-making approach at Group Intel and our Idea Stock Exchange on Github.

George Washington: A Man Apart

Our first president, George Washington, was wary of political parties. In fact, he was so opposed to the concept that a good portion of his farewell address was dedicated to warning against the evils of political "factions". Washington remains our first and only independent president, a beacon of unity in a sea of partisan division.

The Self-Interest of Political Parties

Rather than genuinely striving to solve problems, political parties seem primarily interested in amassing power. True problem-solving involves identifying issues, acknowledging the valid interests of all parties, brainstorming solutions, and utilizing cost-benefit analysis to chart the best path forward. Power grabbing, on the other hand, often involves oversimplifying complex issues, demonizing opponents, and pushing through legislation without adequate debate.

The Poisonous Effect on Our Political Process

This quest for power often leads to oversimplification and demonization of differing viewpoints. In fact, the more a party can incite hatred for the other side, the more power they seem to gain. This antagonistic approach prevents our representatives from uniting to address common problems, as their campaign funding often depends on maintaining this divisive rhetoric.

The Impact on the American People

This division doesn't just affect the political landscape; it has tangible effects on the American people as well. We find ourselves viewing those with differing political views as enemies. Our comedians, media, and even our social circles echo our own beliefs, often mocking and dehumanizing the other side. This creates dangerous echo chambers where we can no longer hear, let alone understand, each other's perspectives.

The Failings of Our Political Parties

Given the myriad advantages the United States has enjoyed, it's disheartening to see that we're not leading in many categories compared to other nations. Whether it's our ranking in homicide rates, the quality of our infrastructure, or the state of our education system, we are falling behind. Even in areas where we should excel, such as individual freedoms, we are seeing a decline. Our political leaders have failed to address these issues adequately.

The Need for Better Leadership

With challenges like North Korea's nuclear threat and the global attack on freedom of speech, religion, and the press, the world needs the United States to step up. We need to rise above partisan squabbles and lead with wisdom, unity, and strength. Yet, our political parties seem more focused on maintaining their power than addressing these pressing issues.

In conclusion, our political parties seem to be squandering our heritage and potential. The question remains: Can we find a better way to address our problems and lead our nation? I believe there is, and I invite you to join me in exploring this on Group Intel and our Idea Stock Exchange on Github.

Disparities in Our System

Given the many advantages bestowed upon us, it is both surprising and concerning to see that the United States is not performing as well as it should in various sectors. For instance, our nation is ranked 43rd in homicide rates while also having a higher incarceration rate than many other developed nations. It's worth noting that our high incarceration rate not only affects the individuals imprisoned but also has a significant societal impact. Political leaders have largely failed to develop effective strategies for crime prevention and rehabilitation, leading to this unfortunate situation.

Our infrastructure, which is a vital aspect of any developed nation, also falls short, ranking 14th in transportation systems and 33rd in download speeds. Moreover, our education system has not been spared, standing 24th in literacy and 23rd in science worldwide. This clearly demonstrates the failure of our political parties to invest adequately in these critical sectors.

Healthcare and Economic Prosperity

Health is another sector where our political parties have fallen short. The U.S. ranks 26th in life expectancy. The consequences of our healthcare policies have put a strain not just on the individuals but also on our potential to lead in the world.

In terms of economic prosperity, the International Monetary Fund (IMF), World Bank, and United Nations rank the U.S. 7th or 9th in GDP per capita. While these are respectable positions, we should expect more from a nation that has enjoyed the advantages we have.

Freedom and Corruption

Perhaps one of the most significant areas where we're failing is in upholding the freedoms that we've long touted as foundational to our nation's identity. Freedom of religion, speech, and the press, while difficult to quantify, are areas where we no longer lead the world. We have allowed unwarranted surveillance of our citizens more than any other Western country, betraying the principles of privacy and freedom from unreasonable searches.

The U.S. ranks 45th for freedom of the press, according to Reporters Without Borders. As a nation that prides itself on the freedom of the press, this is disheartening. Furthermore, the CATO and Heritage Foundation rate the U.S. as 17th and 18th on the Human and Economic Freedom indexes, respectively.

Corruption is another issue that our political parties have failed to adequately address. According to Transparency International's Corruption Perceptions Index, which measures perceived levels of public sector corruption, the U.S. is ranked 18th, trailing 17 other countries.

Immigration Policies

The U.S. has a rich history of being a nation of immigrants. However, our immigration policies have been a topic of intense debate and contention. The failure to enact comprehensive immigration reform has led to a system that often seems unfair, inefficient, and inhumane.

Political Polarization and the Threat to Democracy

Political polarization has reached extreme levels in the U.S., impacting not only our ability to govern effectively but also threatening the fabric of our democracy. The proliferation of misinformation and disinformation, attacks on our electoral system, and the erosion of trust in our democratic institutions are all symptoms of this growing problem.

The Call for Better Leadership

Given the challenges we face today, there is a pressing need for us to be at our best. Whether it's confronting nuclear threats or standing up for freedoms under attack, the world needs a strong and united United States. However, our current political climate, heavily influenced by party divisions, seems to be squandering our potential and failing to meet the moment.

We need leaders who can rise above party lines and work together for the common good of the nation and the world. We need a political system that encourages collaboration, values diverse viewpoints, and prioritizes problem-solving over power accumulation.

If you're as passionate about these issues as I am, I invite you to explore further and join the conversation at Group Intel and on our Idea Stock Exchange on Github.