Jan 2, 2012

We must not allow a nuclear 9-11

Reasons to agree:


  1. Ron Paul can say all he wants that Iran won't ever use a nuclear weapon against us. He has a right to evaluate the intelligence, and come to that conclusion. However everyone would have to agree that we must not allow a nuclear 9-11. That is the starting point. It is so obvious that it has to be acknowledged. To allow a nuclear 9-11 would be the worst thing that could happen to this planet. If our federal government can not tell our citizens that they are going to be willing to kill hundreds or thousands of Iranian scientist and their families who might be with them at these nuclear facilities, to prevent them from getting the bomb, then we need to tell the residents of New York, Los Angeles, and Chicago to consider moving outside of the blast zone. The leaders in Iran are so stupid that their may be greater than a 3% chance that they would try to sneek a bomb into our country. 

  2. The sacrifices proposed to prevent a nuclear 9/11 are not as bad as living through a nuclear 9/11. 9/11 caused thousands of Deaths, a nuclear 9/11 could kill millions. Most of the sacrifices being proposed, that supposedly limit our privacy, are worth the price. It's easy to make childish theoretical arguments that sound good on paper, about never invading people's privacy. But you don't have a right to privacy in public places. 

  3. A nuclear 9/11 would likely result in the complete destruction in any nation that sympathizes with Jihadist. We should, of course, morn our own dead. But it would necessarily result in the death of many more people from Jihadist supporting countries. 

  4. We all want our civil liberty, but often one persons privacy is not worth all of our lives. 

  5. No other likely challenge that we face besides a nuclear 9/11 has the potential of killing millions of Americans. 

  6. The primary responsibility of the US federal government is protecting is protecting the US citizens. 

  7. Muslims all over the world should try to prevent a nuclear 9/11. Reasons that Muslims should agree: A nuclear 9-11 would not cause America to withdraw from the world stage. We would destroy any country that has people in it that smiled on the day that America was attacked, the wrest of the world would support us in any vengeance that we wanted, and our culture would not be the one that would go up in flames afterword. A nuclear 9-11 would not stop the spread of western culture. A nuclear 9-11 would not stop the spread of woman's rights, or gay rights. A nuclear 9-11 would not stop the spread of democracy. A nuclear 9-11 would not accomplish any of the goals of the Muslim community.We will prevent one country from invading another country. You don't need to worry, Iran, that someone will attack you if you don't have a nuclear weapon. A nuclear weapon will make you less secure, not more secure.

  8. A nuclear 9/11 would harm the environment more any other disaster that our country could face. Even liberals who are concerned with overcrowding should be concerned (just joking!). 

  9. A nuclear 9/11 would likely result in more war, which would harm the environment more than WWII. 
    Even liberals who are concerned with overcrowding should be concerned (just joking!). 

  10. Sure, this is a non-specific argument which, if in-artfully used, could justify actions that would actually result in more nuclear terrorism. You are reading into it that we will take this argument, and use it stupidly, but the argument is still sound. Perhaps it is done through diplomacy, perhaps it is done in other ways, but it is better that we kill 100 Iranian scientist and their families, than we let them build a bomb that has a 10% chance of killing 10 million Americans. Just doing the math, it is better that 100 Iranians die than 1,000,000 Americans. Perhaps, the life of a free person is of more worth than the life of someone living in Iran. It is less likely that the American beats his wife, kills his sister in honor killings, is contributing to hardcore persecution of minorities, etc. It is less likely that an Iranian is working towards a cure for cancer, and more likely that they are planning how to kill the Jews. 






  1.  We can't control our borders so well that we could prevent a nuclear suitcase bomb from being snuck into our country. 












Probable interest of those who agree:




  1. The environment.

  2. Mankind

  3. Preventing Human suffering

  4. Preventing the cycle of violence that would result when America demanded vengeance

  5. Fear of terrorist attacks







Probable interest of those who disagree:




  1. Freedom from government monitoring, from those who are resisting CIA and FBI expansion of powers

  2. Freedom from other countries telling them to not build bombs, from countries like Iran that is seeking nuclear powers.

  3. Revenge for perceived wrongs, from religious Muslims who want a nuclear 9-11 in America

  4. Stopping the spread of Western Culture, from religious Muslims who want a nuclear 9-11 in America and think a nuclear 9-11 would cause America to withdraw from the world stage.

  5. Stopping the spread of women's rights, from religious Muslims who want a nuclear 9-11 in America and think a nuclear 9-11 would cause America to withdraw from the world stage.

  6. Stopping the spread of sexual freedom, from religious Muslims who want a nuclear 9-11 in America and think a nuclear 9-11 would cause America to withdraw from the world stage.

  7. Stopping the spread of the right to divorce, from religious Muslims who want a nuclear 9-11 in America and think a nuclear 9-11 would cause America to withdraw from the world stage.

  8. Stopping the spread of homosexual rights, from religious Muslims who want a nuclear 9-11 in America and think a nuclear 9-11 would cause America to withdraw from the world stage.

  9. Fear that someone would attack, if they don't have a bomb to scare them away.












Common Interest




  1. Prevention of the loss of innocent life.

  2. Prevention of injustice.

  3. Fear that things could get out of hand, or would not go according to plan. 










Opposing Interest




  1. The spread of American culture 

  2. The spread of Islam

  3. National pride 

  4. The spread of perceived sinfulness


  5. Jealousy (if your older brother has a BB gun you want one too). I am tying in those who are not concerned with nuclear proliferation to those who do not believe we need to stop a nuclear 911.















At a later date, the reasons, books, and web-pages will be given a score. They will then contribute a percentage of a point to the overall idea score, based on their individual score. Below are the total number of:





Reasons to agree: +1


Reasons to disagree: -0


Reasons to agree with reasons to agree: +0


Books that agree: +0 


Books that disagree: -0


Web-pages that agree: -0 


Web-pages that disagree: -0


Total Idea Score: 1






Don't like the score? It is easy to change the score. Just post a reason (argument, movie, book, webpage, etc) to agree or disagree.






The US Federal Government should help threatened Islamic states with public schools



Reasons to agree:
















  1.  




























Probable interest of those who agree:









Probable interest of those who disagree:
















Common Interest











Opposing Interest


































Videos That agree





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Videos That disagree





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Website that agree












Websites that disagree




  1.  









Related arguments:





























    At a later date, the reasons, books, and web-pages will be given a score. They will then contribute a percentage of a point to the overall idea score, based on their individual score. Below are the total number of:





    Reasons to agree: +1


    Reasons to disagree: -0


    Reasons to agree with reasons to agree: +0


    Books that agree: +0 


    Books that disagree: -0


    Web-pages that agree: -0 


    Web-pages that disagree: -0


    Total Idea Score: 1





    Don't like the score? It is easy to change the score. Just post a reason (argument, movie, book, webpage, etc) to agree or disagree.






    Jihadist are most likely to use a nuclear weapon

    Reasons to agree:





    1. Jihadist are not trying to lift their country up, they are just trying to bring down America.

    2. Jihadist are willing to commit suicide in order to advance their cause.

    3. Jihadist have no return address for us to bomb.

    4. Jihadist don't think that we can retaliate. They do not know that we would destroy the middle east if a bomb was detonated in America, Europe, or Asia. They may miss calculate their strength, or think God will help them, making them most likely to use a nuclear weapon. They don't have an organized command structure, and so their are thousands of 
      Jihadist trying to get nuclear weapons. If any of them miscalculate our willingness to destroy the middle east, they could make a fatal mistake. 










    1.  Jihadist know that if a nuclear bomb went off in America, the whole world would destroy them.

    2. We can tell where a bomb would come from. Anyone who allowed the bomg to go off would be killed.

    3. Jihadist have lots of return addresses. If someone smuggles a nuclear bomb into the United States and detonates it we will bomb the middle east out of existence. Fire and sand make glass, and when we're done with the middle east it will look like Superman's dad's apartment on Krypton. 

















    At a later date, the reasons, books, and web-pages will be given a score. They will then contribute a percentage of a point to the overall idea score, based on their individual score. Below are the total number of:





    Reasons to agree: +4


    Reasons to disagree: -3


    Reasons to agree with reasons to agree: +0


    Books that agree: +0 


    Books that disagree: -0


    Web-pages that agree: -0 


    Web-pages that disagree: -0


    Total Idea Score: 1





    Don't like the score? It is easy to change the score. Just post a reason (argument, movie, book, webpage, etc) to agree or disagree.






    Alcohol is a bigger problem for America than terrorism



    Belief: Alcohol is a bigger problem for America than terrorism.

    Reasons to agree:

    1. Alcohol causes significantly more deaths than terrorism

      • Alcohol-related deaths in America far exceed those caused by terrorism.

      • Approximately 85,000 deaths per year in the U.S. are attributed to alcohol.

      • Every year, tens of thousands of lives are lost prematurely due to alcohol, affecting families and communities.

    2. Alcohol contributes to a high percentage of deaths from various causes

      • 60% of homicides involve alcohol.

      • 45% of deaths in automobile accidents are alcohol-related.

      • 40% of accidental falls involve alcohol use.

      • 30% of deaths from fire-related accidents are due to alcohol.

      • 30% of accidental drownings are alcohol-related.

      • 30% of suicides involve alcohol.

      • 15% of deaths from respiratory diseases are linked to alcohol.

      • 5% of deaths from circulatory diseases are linked to alcohol.

    3. The economic and social burden of alcohol is immense

      • Alcohol-related problems cost the U.S. $249 billion in 2010 (CDC).

      • Lost productivity, healthcare costs, law enforcement, and crime linked to alcohol impose a far greater economic burden than terrorism.

      • Families and communities experience long-term suffering due to alcohol-related violence, abuse, and health issues.

    4. It's not just that one is worse than another. Its the stupidity and fear mongering from the media and the government that is the problem and that indicate that we are not a serious nation. 


    Reasons to disagree:

    1. Terrorism is an external threat, while alcohol abuse is a personal choice

      • Unlike terrorism, alcohol consumption is primarily an issue of personal responsibility and societal norms. The government has a right to address problems with security, but not individual choice. It's not wrong for the government and society to focus on issues that the government should focus on, even if we agree that they shouldn't fearmonger. 

      • Government efforts against terrorism involve security measures while fighting alcohol abuse is more about education, regulation, and cultural problems. 

    2. Prohibition has historically failed

      • The U.S. already attempted to combat alcohol consumption through prohibition, which failed and increased organized crime.

      • Restrictive alcohol laws have generally led to illegal trade rather than a decrease in consumption.


    Interest/Motivation of those who agree:

    1. Public health advocates are concerned about preventable deaths.

    2. Families who have lost loved ones due to alcohol-related incidents.

    3. Organizations working to reduce alcohol abuse and its societal impact.

    4. Policymakers looking to address alcohol-related public health crises.

    Interest/Motivation of those who disagree:

    1. The alcohol industry and businesses that profit from alcohol sales.

    2. Advocates for personal freedom and individual responsibility.

    3. Law enforcement agencies focused on combating terrorism.

    4. People who see terrorism as a more immediate and intentional threat.


    Shared Interests Between Those Who Agree and Disagree:

    1. Public safety – Both sides agree that reducing harm to Americans is important.

    2. Health and well-being – Preventing unnecessary deaths, whether from alcohol or terrorism, is a shared goal.

    3. Policy effectiveness – Both sides seek policies that are practical and effective in addressing threats.

    4. Economic stability – Ensuring that regulations or policies do not cause unintended financial burdens.

    Opposing Interests (Key Obstacles Preventing Resolution):

    1. Freedom vs. Regulation – Alcohol is a personal choice, whereas terrorism is a criminal act.

    2. Prioritization of threats – Some view terrorism as a more urgent problem than alcohol-related deaths.

    3. Industry interests – The alcohol industry lobbies against strict regulations, while anti-terrorism measures face less opposition.

    4. Cultural acceptance – Alcohol consumption is normalized in American society, making drastic measures against it unpopular.


    Evidence that agrees:

    1. Alcohol-related deaths outnumber terrorism deaths in the U.S. annually.

    2. The CDC and National Institute on Alcohol Abuse and Alcoholism report that alcohol causes more preventable deaths than many other public health crises.

    3. Economic data shows that alcohol-related costs are much higher than anti-terrorism spending.

    Evidence that disagrees:

    1. Terrorism has long-term social and psychological impacts beyond immediate deaths.

    2. The U.S. spends significantly more on anti-terrorism efforts, indicating a governmental priority.

    3. Alcohol abuse is seen as an individual choice, whereas terrorism is a direct threat to national security.


    Most Likely Benefits:

    1. Increased awareness and education about alcohol-related harm.

    2. More effective policies to reduce alcohol abuse and prevent deaths.

    3. Redirection of public concern and resources toward alcohol-related prevention efforts.

    4. Reduced healthcare and criminal justice costs associated with alcohol-related incidents.

    Most Likely Costs:

    1. Potential backlash from those who see alcohol as a personal freedom issue.

    2. Economic losses for the alcohol industry and related businesses.

    3. Difficulty in implementing effective alcohol control measures without unintended consequences.

    4. Risk of increasing black-market alcohol sales if regulations become too strict.


    Books that agree:

    1. Drunken Comportment: A Social Explanation by Craig MacAndrew.

    2. The American Disease: Origins of Narcotic Control by David F. Musto.

    Books that disagree:

    1. Last Call: The Rise and Fall of Prohibition by Daniel Okrent.


    Local, Federal, and International Laws that agree:

    1. State and federal DUI laws aim to reduce alcohol-related accidents.

    2. Alcohol tax policies are designed to discourage excessive consumption.

    Laws that disagree:

    1. The repeal of Prohibition (21st Amendment) demonstrates a legal preference for alcohol regulation over bans.


    Videos that agree:

    1. TED Talk: The Harm in a Drink.

    2. Documentary: HBO’s Risky Drinking.

    Videos that disagree:

    1. TED Talk: Why Prohibition Never Works.


    People who agree:

    1. Public health advocates working to reduce alcohol-related harm.

    2. Families of alcohol-related accident victims raising awareness about the dangers of drinking.

    People who disagree:

    1. Alcohol industry representatives advocating for responsible but unrestricted drinking.

    2. Security analysts emphasizing terrorism as a greater national threat.


    Objective Criteria for Assessing the Validity of this Belief:

    1. Annual statistics comparing alcohol-related deaths to terrorism deaths.

    2. Economic cost analysis of alcohol abuse versus terrorism response.

    3. Public perception studies on alcohol-related harm versus fear of terrorism.


    Most Likely Root Cause of Associated Problems:

    1. Cultural normalization of alcohol – Drinking is widely accepted despite its dangers.

    2. Media focus on terrorism – Public perception of risk is skewed by media coverage.


    Conclusion:

    • Alcohol causes significantly more deaths and economic costs than terrorism.

    • Terrorism is an intentional, external threat, while alcohol-related deaths result from societal and personal choices.

    • While alcohol’s impact is clear, addressing it requires a different approach than counter-terrorism measures.

    Jihadism is this century’s nightmare



    Reasons to agree:


    1. Jihadist are the only people who would use a nuclear weapon against a democratic country. +1

    2. Jihadist threaten the future of the middle east. 

    3. A nuclear weapon would destroy men, women, children.

    4. Jihadist are the only people currently advocating genocide. 

    5. A modern nuclear weapon would make land un-usable for thousands of years.

    6. Some of the people who die from Alcohol, are just killing themselves. Those who would be killed from a nuclear bomb, would be mostly innocent.

    7. There can be more than one nightmare. China could go bad, but Jihadism is more likely to.

    8. Jihadist could start a war with Pakistan.

    9. Jihadist are killing and displacing thousands in Africa.

    10. Jihadist have exploded transportation in the United States, Spain, and England.

    11. Jihadist are trying to take over Iraq, Afghanistan, Pakistan, and Saudi Arabia. They are a significant force in Syria.

    12. Many Jihadist deny the Holocaust.

    13. Many Jihadist want to destroy Israel.

    14. There is no force on the planet, not communism or anything else, that unifies people with so much hatred as Jihadism.

    15. Ana says; "Everyone should educate themselves on Islam, its history and on the radical element. One will find that whenever Muslims gain political power all non-Muslims are second class citizens unless they convert. Often Jews and Christians are killed as part of gaining power. Sharia law is every Judeo-Christian's, and other non-Mulsims nightmare. In fact, what is occuring is the demise of the American experiment, with its reliance on the Natural Law and Judeo-Christian, Greek Roman heritage by the influx of too, many immigrants too fast, multi-culturalism and secularism. May God have mercy on those of us who forget this great gift to the human race and who do nothing to defend it."






    1. Alcohol is a bigger problem for America than terrorism. +7

    2. The collapse of the American family is a bigger problem than terrorism






























      At a later date, the reasons, books, and web-pages will be given a score. They will then contribute a percentage of a point to the overall idea score, based on their individual score. Below are the total number of:





      Reasons to agree: +15


      Reasons to disagree: -2


      Reasons to agree with reasons to agree: +1, -7


      Books that agree: +0 


      Books that disagree: -0


      Web-pages that agree: -0 


      Web-pages that disagree: -0


      Total Idea Score: 7






      Don't like the score? It is easy to change the score. Just post a reason (argument, movie, book, webpage, etc) to agree or disagree.






      We must constantly challenge bureaucratic group think



      Reasons to agree:





      1. A committee is a cul-de-sac down which ideas are lured and then quietly strangled.

      2. Don't worry about people stealing an idea. You will have to ram it down their throats if it's original. ~Howard Aiken

      3. Never Underestimate the Power of Stupid People in Large Groups






      Reasons to disagree:



      1.  "None of Us is as Good as All of Us." Ray Kroc. This kind of thinking says that bureaucracy can outperform individuals. Sometimes this is true. But not in novels or paintings. Good movies are based on books written by people, not groups. And most screenplays are not written by groups of people. However, movies are made by a committee... sort of... someone has to be in charge, but group things kind of happen... America has groupthink...















      At a later date, the reasons, books, and web-pages will be given a score. They will then contribute a percentage of a point to the overall idea score, based on their individual score. Below are the total number of:





      Reasons to agree: +3


      Reasons to disagree: -1


      Reasons to agree with reasons to agree: +0


      Books that agree: +0 


      Books that disagree: -0


      Web-pages that agree: -0 


      Web-pages that disagree: -0


      Total Idea Score: 2




      Don't like the score? It is easy to change the score. Just post a reason (argument, movie, book, webpage, etc) to agree or disagree.

      Logical Arguments - Pros:

      1. Challenging bureaucratic groupthink encourages innovation and creative problem-solving.
      2. It promotes diversity of thought and can lead to better decision-making processes.
      3. Challenging groupthink can expose and correct inefficiencies within the system.
      4. It helps prevent the "blind leading the blind" scenario and potential cascading failures.

      Logical Arguments - Cons:

      1. Constantly challenging bureaucratic groupthink can disrupt the efficiency and slow down decision-making processes.
      2. It may lead to conflict and reduce cohesiveness among members of an organization.
      3. Too many differing opinions might paralyze the decision-making process.

      Evidence (data, studies):

      1. Studies from social psychology on groupthink, such as Irving Janis's seminal work, that demonstrate the potential pitfalls of groupthink.
      2. Case studies of bureaucratic failures attributed to groupthink, such as the Bay of Pigs invasion, NASA's Challenger disaster, etc.
      3. Research showing the positive effects of diverse viewpoints and constructive dissent in decision-making.

      Books:

      1. "Groupthink: Psychological Studies of Policy Decisions and Fiascoes" by Irving L. Janis.
      2. "Wiser: Getting Beyond Groupthink to Make Groups Smarter" by Cass R. Sunstein and Reid Hastie.

      Videos:

      1. TED Talks discussing the danger of groupthink and the importance of dissent and diversity of thought.
      2. Documentaries or case study analyses of historical events impacted by groupthink.

      Organizations and their Websites:

      1. The American Psychological Association (APA) and its resources on group dynamics and groupthink.

      Podcasts:

      1. "Hidden Brain" by NPR often discusses social psychology topics, including groupthink.
      2. "Freakonomics Radio" has episodes discussing bureaucracy and decision-making.

      Unbiased experts:

      1. Irving L. Janis, psychologist and groupthink researcher.
      2. Cass R. Sunstein, legal scholar and author who writes extensively on group dynamics.

      Benefits of belief acceptance (ranked by Maslow categories):

      1. Self-actualization: Encourages personal growth and critical thinking.
      2. Esteem: Promotes self-respect and the respect of others for independent thought.
      3. Love/Belonging: Fosters a more inclusive and open environment for sharing ideas.
      4. Safety: Helps prevent catastrophic decisions caused by groupthink.
      5. Physiological: Better decisions can lead to improved physical well-being in certain contexts.

      Ethics that should be used to justify this belief:

      1. Intellectual Autonomy: The ability to think independently is crucial in challenging groupthink.
      2. Respect for Diversity and Inclusion: Recognizing the value of different perspectives and experiences.
      Remember, your input is vital for building a comprehensive, evidence-based understanding of this topic. Contribute to our collective intelligence initiative at Group Intel and Idea Stock

      • Unstated Assumptions:

        1. Bureaucracies tend toward homogeneity of thought or groupthink.
        2. Dissenting views in bureaucracies are often suppressed or undervalued.
        3. Constant challenging of ideas can lead to better outcomes.
        4. The decision-making process in bureaucracies can accommodate constant challenges without paralyzing operations.
      • Alternate Expressions:

        1. "The wisdom of crowds is often just the inertia of the status quo."
        2. "Bureaucratic complacency is the enemy of progress."
        3. Hashtag: #ChallengeGroupthink, #BreakTheBureaucracy, #InnovateNotStagnate
      • Belief Validation Criteria:

        1. Evidence of poor decision-making or failures due to bureaucratic groupthink.
        2. Demonstrations of improved outcomes when dissent is encouraged.
        3. Empirical studies showing the negative effects of groupthink and the benefits of diverse thought.
      • Key Stakeholders:

        1. Bureaucratic institutions and their leadership
        2. Employees within these bureaucracies
        3. Public citizens or entities affected by decisions made by these bureaucracies
        4. Policy and lawmakers who can affect change within these bureaucracies.
      • Shared Interests:

        1. Efficient and effective decision-making
        2. Innovations and improvements within bureaucratic systems
        3. Transparency and accountability in decision-making processes.
      • Differences and Obstacles:

        1. Resistance to change within established bureaucratic structures
        2. Fear of conflict or "rocking the boat"
        3. Ensuring dissenting voices are heard without overwhelming the decision-making process.
      • Dialogue Strategies:

        1. Encourage open communication and the expression of diverse viewpoints.
        2. Foster an environment where challenging groupthink is seen as constructive rather than destructive.
        3. Develop protocols for assessing and integrating dissenting viewpoints into decision-making processes.
      • Educational Resources:

        1. Books like "Groupthink: Psychological Studies of Policy Decisions and Fiascoes" by Irving L. Janis
        2. Articles and research on organizational behavior and the effects of groupthink
        3. Lectures or talks on the importance of diversity of thought within organizational structures.
      • Contextual Understanding:

        1. Groupthink: The practice of thinking or making decisions as a group, resulting typically in unchallenged, poor-quality decision-making.
        2. Bureaucracy: A system of government or organization in which most of the important decisions are made by state officials rather than by elected representatives.

      Remember, your insights are vital to building a comprehensive, evidence-based understanding of this topic. Please contribute and explore these areas on our websites, Group Intel and Idea Stock Exchange, as part of our collective intelligence initiative.