Redefining Political Parties: Championing Evidence-Based Policy Forums

In the current era, political parties often fall short of their potential. Yet, rather than abandoning them, we should reimagine their role in our democracy.

Consider a political party grounded in an open online forum dedicated to cost-benefit analysis. Here, users can vigorously debate policy impacts, shaping collective policy confidence grounded in evidence. This would be a true reflection of rational, enlightened principles.

George Washington’s skepticism of factions stemmed from their rigid beliefs and coercive nature. However, political parties need not be inflexible or oppressive.

Present party names – 'Democratic' and 'Republican' – echo the underlying principles political parties should strive for: enhancing representation and democracy. These ideals, however, are often overshadowed by narrow policy debates and superficial platforms.

We must evolve from parties that merely use democracy and representation as a facade to those that genuinely embody these concepts, prioritizing evidence-based policies and open debate.

To delve deeper and join in shaping the future of governance, I invite you to explore and connect through various platforms:

Online Platforms for Idea Exchange:

  • Visit the Idea Stock Exchange on GitHub for insights into government policy discussions and argument score tracking at Idea Stock Exchange on GitHub.

Connect on Social Media:

  • Engage with me on Twitter @myclob. Use hashtags like #CrowdSourcedCostBenefitAnalysis, #GovernmentAsAPlatform, #DirectDemocratParty, #SuperCollectiveIntelligence, and #EDemocracy to share your thoughts and connect with like-minded individuals.

Volunteer Opportunities for Tech Enthusiasts:

  • If you have tech skills, particularly in web development, your expertise is invaluable in enhancing these platforms. Get involved and contribute to redefining governance and policy-making.

Further Resources and Reading:

Join us on this path to a more enlightened, participatory approach to governance.

Revolutionizing Politics: Embracing Rational Analysis for Policy Making

The political landscape is in dire need of a paradigm shift, away from polarized rhetoric to a rational, analytical approach focusing on cost, benefit, and risk. The goal is to move from subjective debate to pragmatic, evidence-based policy development.

I envision a political party that rigorously analyzes policies, linking their potential impacts to the strength of the arguments supporting them. This approach, grounded in logical reasoning and data, aims to accurately estimate the costs, benefits, and risks of each policy.

This dynamic process echoes Cass Sunstein's "Cost Benefit Revolution," advocating for analytical evaluation in governance. However, my concept extends beyond technocratic analysis to a more democratic, inclusive framework, leveraging public intelligence and technology for open online analysis.

In this reimagined political sphere, parties wouldn't be shackled to rigid ideologies but would instead champion the scientific method, basing policies on verified data and logical analysis, while countering emotional bias.

Such meticulous attention to policy impacts would render traditional political discord obsolete, with robust, data-backed arguments taking precedence. Policy decisions could then evolve based on empirical evidence, enhancing their effectiveness.

I am currently penning a book to detail these ideas more thoroughly. Stay tuned for updates and insights.

For now, delve deeper into these concepts and join the conversation through my platforms:

Online Platforms for Idea Exchange:

  • Explore the Idea Stock Exchange on GitHub for insights into government policy discussions and argument score tracking at Idea Stock Exchange on GitHub.

Connect on Social Media:

  • Engage with me on Twitter @myclob. Use hashtags like #RationalPolitics, #CostBenefitAnalysisRevolution, #EvidencedBasedPolicy to share your thoughts and connect with like-minded individuals.

Further Resources and Reading:

Let's collaborate to steer politics towards a more rational, pragmatic, and effective future.

Rational Political Party: Embracing a Comprehensive Cost, Benefit, and Risk Evaluation Approach

In the realm of politics, there's a pressing need for a paradigm shift towards a more analytical and balanced approach. The Idea Stock Exchange principles of automated conflict resolution and cost-benefit analysis offer a pathway to rationalize political discourse.

#CostsBenefitsAndRisks Analysis for Balanced Policy Evaluation

  • Current political practices, often dominated by #Republican and #Democrat parties, tend to highlight the benefits of their policies while ignoring or downplaying the costs. This selective approach results in biased echo chambers and a lack of objective policy evaluation.

Leveraging Technology for Enhanced Political Decision-Making

  • By utilizing a platform where each policy's potential impacts are listed and debated, we can transcend biases. This involves a systematic evaluation of each cost and benefit, with arguments for their likelihood and impact rigorously ranked and linked to evidence.

Elevating Argument Quality and Linking Probabilities to Evidence

  • The Idea Stock Exchange's principles guide us to group similar arguments, avoiding duplication, and evaluate the strength of each argument's link to the policy conclusions. This method ensures a comprehensive and objective analysis.

Attaining Stability Through Comprehensive Evaluation

  • A stable and reliable understanding of policy impacts is achievable through a thorough vetting of arguments and counterarguments. By quantifying the likelihood and impact of each policy element, we can derive a more accurate picture of the overall effects.

Envisioning a New Political Party: Direct Democracy and Open Policy Evaluation

  • Inspired by Wikipedia's model of democratic information dissemination, this new political party would focus on direct citizen participation and transparent policy evaluation, prioritizing factual accuracy over partisan narratives.

#ElectronicDemocracy: The Future of Political Engagement

  • Embracing a model akin to Wikipedia for political decision-making could revolutionize the political landscape, fostering a more informed and rational approach to policy-making.

Conclusion

  • The proposed political party, grounded in the Idea Stock Exchange's principles, marks a shift towards a more analytical, transparent, and participatory political process. This approach emphasizes rational decision-making based on comprehensive cost, benefit, and risk analysis.

The Progress Party: Advancing through Collective Intelligence

Welcome to the Progress Party, where we strive to advance our society by not repeating the same parts of an argument in a disorganized, endless loop. Just imagine: no more rehashing the same points, no more going in circles, and no more wasting time on fruitless debates.

Instead, we promote a system where we continually add data that strengthens or weakens assumptions but without the constant need to re-prove that a specific argument is a logical fallacy.

Remember the story of Sisyphus? He was doomed to eternally roll a boulder up a hill, only for it to roll back down each time he reached the top. It's a cruel punishment, and one that parallels the experience of anyone who delves into the world of ideas today.

But what if we could secure that boulder at the top of the hill? What if we could prevent it from rolling back down? In other words, what if we could ensure that once we've logically, empirically, and collectively established a point, it stays established? That's what we're aiming for with the Progress Party.

We believe that the key to achieving this lies in harnessing Collective Intelligence. This is where platforms like Group Intel and Idea Stock Exchange come into play. These platforms are designed to facilitate open, transparent, and collective decision-making, underpinned by sound logic and evidence.

In this system, we all agree to abide by the scientific process, see what facts can be established, and what policies emerge as victors when we do an excellent job promoting sound logic and quashing emotional thinking and confirmation bias.

So, let's move beyond the realm of disorganized intuition and enter an era of organized, collective intelligence. Let's stop the endless, repetitive debates and start building on our shared knowledge and understanding. Let's create a future where our collective efforts push the boulder up the hill - and keep it there.

I welcome any and all feedback and suggestions for how we can continue to improve and refine our approach. Let's make progress together.


The Age of Wisdom: Sparking A Political Revolution

What if we could revolutionize the way we make decisions? Envision a world where feelings, anecdotes, and oversimplified stories no longer steer our society. Instead, we operate on cost-benefit analysis, carefully assessing the potential outcomes of our decisions. This is not a distant utopia, but the aim of a political party I wish to start.

Welcome to a new age where Collective Intelligence is king, and our obsession with Artificial Intelligence takes a backseat. It's high time that the internet lives up to its promise of bringing wisdom and intelligence to the world.

In this new era, every argument has a score, similar to the stock market. Imagine a platform, like Group Intel or Idea Stock Exchange, that continually improves pro and con arguments for each belief. This platform doesn't merely direct you to other people's websites, but provides you with the cost and benefits of each choice you might make.

This can be our new religion, a religion that worships Athena, the goddess of wisdom. Our service to her is to continually refine our arguments, to seek the truth in all things.

Imagine a future where wisdom spreads, where people stop using Google in favor of a more comprehensive, objective source of information. A future where all arguments are tied together, where we discover one shared truth.

Weakening an argument in this system automatically weakens all conclusions built on that argument. We won't duplicate arguments; we'll link them. We'll credit the first person to express each idea, and we'll acknowledge those who said it best, or in the shortest way.

We'll draw connections between beliefs and cultural expressions, outlining all the books, songs, poems, photos, and political cartoons that agree or disagree with each conclusion. By doing this, we'll bring data and the arts together.

This is how we fix our problems, how we act wisely, and how we prepare to conquer the universe armed with reason. This is how we ensure our confidence comes from understanding all sides of an argument, from doing the work and showing our math.

Artificial intelligence will be forced to agree with us because we have fully explained our conclusions. We've shown how arguments, assumptions, and data are all linked together.

For the past 22 years, I've dedicated all my spare time to thinking about this, and I know what we should do. I believe people would appreciate a political party that uses cost/benefit analysis to make its decisions. The question now is: how do we get it started?


  1. Logical Arguments:

    • The concept of collective intelligence has already been proven successful in other domains. Wikipedia, an open-source platform, is a prime example of collective intelligence that has yielded accurate and valuable information.
    • Cost-benefit analysis is a well-established decision-making tool in economics and business, known for its ability to provide clear and rational analysis. It stands to reason that this could also be applied to political decision-making.
  2. Supporting Evidence (data, studies):

    • Collective Intelligence: Research conducted by MIT’s Center for Collective Intelligence has found that groups can effectively solve complex problems when certain conditions are met.
    • Cost-Benefit Analysis: The World Bank and other international institutions have numerous studies highlighting the success of cost-benefit analysis in policy and project implementation.
  3. Supporting Books:

    • "The Wisdom of Crowds" by James Surowiecki
    • "The Cost-Benefit Revolution" by Cass R. Sunstein
  4. Supporting Videos:

    • TED Talk: "James Surowiecki: The power and the danger of online crowds"
    • Coursera's course on "Cost-Benefit Analysis" provides numerous videos explaining the concept in detail.
  5. Supporting Organizations and their Websites:

  6. Supporting Podcasts:

    • "The Indicator from Planet Money" has episodes discussing cost-benefit analysis.
    • "Freakonomics Radio" often explores themes related to collective decision-making and cost-benefit analysis.
  7. Unbiased Experts:

    • James Surowiecki, author of "The Wisdom of Crowds"
    • Cass R. Sunstein, author of "The Cost-Benefit Revolution"
  8. Benefits of Belief Acceptance (ranked by Maslow categories):

    • Physiological: Better policy-making can lead to improved public health and living conditions.
    • Safety: Enhanced decision-making processes can lead to safer communities and better resource allocation.
    • Love/Belonging: Encouraging collective decision-making can foster a sense of community and collaboration.
    • Esteem: Participation in the process can empower individuals, enhancing their self-esteem.
    • Self-Actualization: The pursuit of truth and wisdom through collective intelligence aligns with the goal of realizing one's full potential.