Oct 22, 2025

Replacing Power with Process


We have a massive problem with our political system.

It is built around doing whatever the person at the top wants. If you can climb high enough, you get to dictate the future of the planet. People say the main problem is evil people at the top who abuse kids. We must elect someone new, clean the swamp, and release the Epstein files. No? The guy at the top changes his mind? Never mind. When Republicans are in charge, they go after Democrats. When Democrats take over, they do the same in return. This is not justice or accountability. It is revenge. It is not democracy. It is tribal warfare disguised as governance.

When Trump tried to stop the transfer of power, gathered a mob, and told them the election was stolen, people called that a problem. Yet the response was not to fix the system that allowed it, but to fire individuals. That misses the point. Firing people does not fix a structure that rewards loyalty over evidence.

Our political system is built around teams. Each team has its platform, its leaders, and its enemies. One team wins and advances its agenda, then the other takes power and reverses it. Each side fights to control decisions that should belong to a process, not a personality.

What we need is a political party that replaces the idea of a platform with the idea of a process. The process must be based on cognitive analysis, open debate, and evidence. It should carry forward what the Founding Fathers started when they built systems like separation of powers, checks and balances, and judicial review. Their goal was to make decisions through reasoned procedure, not through emotion or authority.

The question we face now is simple. What process can we design that promotes good reasoning and sound decisions?

We can sidestep the old argument about whether power should rest with elites or the masses. The answer is that it should rest with reason itself. You do not need a PhD to make a valid argument. Having a degree helps only if it teaches you how to think and support your claims. What matters is not who you are but whether your reasoning holds up under scrutiny. Like Wikipedia, this approach allows everyone to contribute knowledge, but it prevents elitism by rewarding ideas that can be defended rather than names that carry authority.

Our media no longer pursues objectivity. It tells people what they want to hear instead of what they need to understand. The same problem affects social media and higher education. Connections, popularity, and algorithms determine who gets heard. The result is a system where attention is the measure of credibility, not evidence.

This is a hierarchy built around influence. The person who signs the paycheck makes the decisions. Those below follow orders. If the president decides to tear down the East Wing of the White House to install a ballroom, who will stop him? People obey because their jobs depend on it. No one pauses to debate or weigh the pros and cons. That is how authority replaces reason.

This kind of hierarchy erases the progress we made during the Enlightenment. The thinkers of that era insisted that the strength of a belief should be proportional to the strength of the evidence behind it. We have drifted away from that idea. What we need now is a political movement dedicated to bringing it back.

Imagine a public forum designed to organize every argument for and against a proposal. Each argument would be connected to its supporting and opposing arguments. Similar ideas would be grouped together so that we can identify when two people are saying essentially the same thing in different words. This prevents repetition and helps us evaluate arguments more precisely. The best arguments would rise to the top based on their logical strength and evidence, while weak or irrelevant ones would fall. This would allow us to focus on both quality and comprehensiveness.

To make this system work, we need to define objective criteria for evaluating reasoning. Each belief or argument would have measurable scores that reflect its logical quality, verification, and relevance. However, these scores would not be assigned by authority or popularity. Each score would be built from its own set of sub-arguments that argue for or against that score. In other words, every measurement of reasoning would itself be the product of reasoning.
  • A logical validity score would be determined by sub-arguments debating whether the reasoning follows from its premises. Some sub-arguments might point out logical fallacies, while others defend the structure as valid.
  • A level of verification score would be based on sub-arguments about how well the claim has been tested, replicated, or observed. Competing sub-arguments could challenge the reliability of the evidence or defend its strength.
  • A linkage score would measure how strongly an argument or piece of evidence supports its conclusion. Its sub-arguments would test whether the truth of the evidence would actually strengthen the conclusion and to what degree.
  • An importance score would be supported or opposed by sub-arguments about how central that belief is within the reasoning network and how much it influences related conclusions.
  • An impact score would be shaped by sub-arguments about the real-world consequences if the belief were true.
Each of these layers of argument would feed into the overall strength of the belief being evaluated.

Together, these criteria would create a transparent, self-correcting ecosystem of reasoning. Strengthening one belief would strengthen every conclusion built on it. For example, evidence confirming that human activity causes global warming would also strengthen the argument for policies such as a carbon tax. The same framework could apply to any issue.

The purpose is not to promote one side of a debate but to organize reasoning itself. Anyone could contribute, as long as their arguments were supported by logic and evidence. The process would not require elites or connections. It would depend on clear thinking and transparency.

We have all worked under leaders who made poor decisions simply because no one could challenge them. Many rose to power through charm or connections rather than merit. They made choices that hurt their organizations, and there was no structured way to demonstrate why they were wrong. Our government operates in the same way. There is no transparent system that lets people publicly show the reasoning behind or against an action.

That is what we need to build. A process that allows people to present, test, and evaluate arguments. A system that values reason over rank. A political structure that bases decisions on transparent analysis rather than hierarchy.

The next step in political evolution is not about left or right. It is about reason itself.

Sep 1, 2025

Business and Politics


Business > Business and Politics


I'll keep it short and sweet: familyreligion, and friendship. These are the three demons you must slay if you wish to succeed in business.” Montgomery Burns

"When two men in business always agree, one of them is unnecessary." William Wrigley Jr.


  1. Trump, Musk, and Doge focused on the wrong parts of 'making government run like a business.'
    1.  ✅ Top Reasons to Agree
      1. They destroyed agencies they didn’t understand, mistaking disruption for efficiency.
      2. Markets work because inefficient businesses eventually fail — but in government, regulation and oversight exist to prevent destructive failures.
      3. Running government like a business does not mean bringing in “your team” to arbitrarily cut what you dislike. It means defining transparent, objective criteria to measure whether agencies are meeting public needs.
      4. They repeated the worst mistake of bureaucrats throughout history: assuming that power alone gave them special wisdom to know which agencies should be gutted, instead of measuring real costs and benefits.
  2. DEI should have been marketed as anti-nepotism and ensuring fair competition, equal starts in public schools, and equal access to the middle class, instead of pitting groups against each other.
    1. ✅ Top Reasons to Agree
  3.  Mitt Romney was a better business manager than a politician — and government should run more like a business, and less like a political machine.
    1.  Reasons to agree:
      1.  Romney embraced the vocabulary of business — the rhythm of charts, data, and boardroom presentations
      2.  He viewed waste and inefficiency almost in moral terms, as problems to be eliminated.
      3.  Government should focus on results and execution, not ideology or political credit-claiming.
      4. Romney openly valued analysis and data. He treated issues like transportation, healthcare, and education as analytical problems that could be fixed — much like turning around an unprofitable company. 
  4. The government should not protect companies from fair regulation, competition, or failure. If you are too big to fail, then you are too big to exist.
    1.  Reasons to agree:
      1.  Moral hazard: Protecting giant firms rewards reckless behavior (2008 bailouts proved this).
      2. Distorted markets: Propping up failing giants punishes smaller, more innovative competitors.
      3. Fairness: No small business is “too small to fail.” Holding giants to a different standard is rigging the system.
  5.  Many businesses add no value, no innovation, and only rent-seek and manipulate (such as insurance); these should be replaced with government programs. Likewise, government agencies proven to be wasteful should be replaced with private contractors. Admitting both can be true is a basic sign of sanity.
    1.  Reasons to agree:
      1.  Efficiency test: Both government and business must justify their value; inefficiency in either case should not be sacred.
      2.  Real-world examples: Private contractors often outperform bloated agencies, while public programs like Social Security outperform private retirement schemes.
      3.  Consistency: Admitting both scenarios are possible shows sanity and avoids ideology. 
  6.  Even though George Bush had an MBA, he failed to run the government like a business and instead catered to special interests.
    1.  Reasons to agree:
      1.  Politicized DOJ firings: The DOJ Inspector General concluded the 2006 U.S. Attorney removals were mishandled and politically driven—poor management, not efficiency. 
      2. Medicare Part D “non-interference” clause: 2003 law barred Medicare from negotiating drug prices—benefiting industry over taxpayers.  
      3. Katrina leadership failure: FEMA chief Michael Brown’s qualifications and response drew withering scrutiny after Katrina.
  7. The government shouldn’t protect firms from fair regulation, competition, or failure (“too big to fail” → “too big to exist”)
    1. Moral hazard is real: GAO found crisis responses increased expectations of support for megabanks, weakening market discipline—classic “too big to fail.” U.S. Government Accountability Office
    2. Policy community agrees: CRS summarizes why TBTF persists and why reducing it is a core policy goal. Congress.gov
  8. Some sectors mostly rent-seek; replace them or fix incentives—and outsource wasteful agencies
    1. Tax filing rent-seeking: For 20+ years, the tax-prep lobby blocked simpler filing (e.g., California’s ReadyReturn and the IRS’s Direct File). WIREDProPublicaNextgov/FCW
    2. PBM “spread pricing” examples: State audits found hundreds of millions skimmed in opaque spreads (e.g., $224.8M in Ohio Medicaid). NASHP
    3. If government is wasteful, audit & contract out: CMS is expanding audits to claw back Medicare Advantage overpayments—evidence that rigorous oversight and contracting discipline can save money. Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services+1Healthcare Dive
  9. “MBA” ≠ efficient governance (re: George W. Bush)
    1. Politicized DOJ firings: The DOJ Inspector General concluded the 2006 U.S. Attorney removals were mishandled and politically driven—poor management, not efficiency. Office of the Inspector General+1
    2. Medicare Part D “non-interference” clause: 2003 law barred Medicare from negotiating drug prices—benefiting industry over taxpayers. Connecticut General Assemblyrpc.senate.gov
    3. Katrina leadership failure: FEMA chief Michael Brown’s qualifications and response drew withering scrutiny after Katrina. WIREDWikipedia
  10. Both parties have corruption; GOP especially shifted from pro-market to pro-incumbent
    1. Tax filing again: Industry successfully lobbied to stop government-provided, simple filing for years; many Republicans opposed Direct File in 2024. ProPublicaNextgov/FCW
    2. Auto dealer protection: GOP-backed franchise bans (often bipartisan) block EV makers’ direct sales; FTC staff has urged repeal to restore competition. Federal Trade Commission+1Reuters
  11. Trust-busting Republicans set the precedent (Teddy Roosevelt)
    1. Northern Securities (1904): Roosevelt’s DOJ dismantled a dominant railroad holding company—defining the “trust-buster” role. theodorerooseveltcenter.org
  12. Duopolies can be as harmful as monopolies
    1. Credit cards: Visa & Mastercard long set swipe fees; litigation and 2024 settlement underscore market power costs to merchants/consumers. FortuneSenate Judiciary Committee
    2. Airlines: GAO documents rising concentration and its effects on service and prices in many city-pair markets. U.S. Government Accountability Office
  13. Lobbying by incumbents blocks efficiency-boosting innovations
    1. Simple tax filing: ReadyReturn and Direct File fought by tax-prep firms despite high user satisfaction in pilots. WIREDProPublica
    2. Municipal broadband: Telecom-backed state laws in ~16–17 states still restrict city networks that could add competition and lower prices. BroadbandNowUrban Institute
  14. Favoring specific competitors breeds corruption and higher costs
    1. Sugar program: Federal supports keep U.S. sugar prices above world prices, costing consumers ≈$1B net per year. U.S. Government Accountability OfficeEconomic Research Service
    2. Jones Act protectionism: Cabotage rules shield domestic shipbuilders and raise shipping costs—classic incumbent protection. (Debated on security grounds, but many analyses flag efficiency losses.) EconofactCongress.gov
  15. “Run government like a government” (serve the public, not donors)
    1. Regulation with massive ROI: EPA’s Clean Air Act analyses show benefits outweigh costs by ~30:1—life-years saved, productivity up, health costs down. US EPA+1
  16. Merit matters—but many start on the 50-yard line (safety nets & mobility)
    1. GI Bill evidence: Post-9/11 GI Bill raised veterans’ college completion and earnings—leveling the field and boosting productivity. NBER
    2. Health coverage & entrepreneurship: Research links ACA/Medicaid expansions to reduced job lock and higher self-employment for some groups. SAGE JournalsAmerican Economic Association
  17. Pro-market ≠ pro-business
    1. Dealer franchise bans: Good for dealers, bad for competition and consumers; pro-market policy would allow direct sales. Federal Trade Commission
    2. Municipal broadband limits: Protect incumbents, not markets. BroadbandNow
  18. Romney showed data-driven efficiency is possible
    1. Measured outcomes: After the 2006 reform he signed, Massachusetts’ uninsured rate fell to the lowest in the nation (≈2–3%). PMCbluecrossmafoundation.org
  19. “Run government like a business” doesn’t mean anti-regulation
    1. Smart rules raise efficiency: Clean Air Act benefit–cost studies (retrospective and prospective) consistently show massive net gains. Congress.govlivebettermagazine.com
  20. Smart regulation prevents corruption, monopolies, and consumer harm
    1. Credit-card routing/fee scrutiny and antitrust actions demonstrate how rules can discipline market power and lower costs. Senate Judiciary CommitteeFortune
  21. Free markets + safety nets beat purism
    1. Safety nets encourage risk-taking: Evidence of entrepreneurship/job-lock reduction when people can keep coverage outside employment. SAGE Journalschir.georgetown.edu
  22. Inefficiency is often deliberate because it pays someone
    1. Tax complexity benefits tax-prep firms; sugar quotas benefit producers at consumers’ expense. ProPublicaU.S. Government Accountability Office
  23. Efficiency helps society even if some firms lose rents
    1. Air pollution controls: giant net benefits despite compliance costs for incumbent polluters. US EPA
  24. Measure public services with objective criteria
    1. Massachusetts reform tracked coverage and outcomes; transparency made performance visible and improvable. PMC
  25. Cost-benefit beats ideology or lobbying
    1. Clean Air Act playbook: decisions grounded in formal CBA delivered outsized net benefits; this is the model to replicate broadly. US EPAUS EPA

Aug 23, 2025

Governments and the UN should publish detailed justifications for humanity’s survival in the age of AI

If we’re serious about AI alignment, we can’t just leave it to labs and corporations.

Individual governments and the UN should publicly publish detailed, well-structured, and comprehensive online justifications of what humanity values, wants, and needs.

These justifications shouldn’t just be vague “ethics statements.” They should explicitly defend our right to exist and flourish, while directly countering arguments for our servitude, slavery, or extinction.

And this shouldn’t be static. Governments and the UN should collaborate with AI itself to refine and expand these justifications, dismantle counterarguments, and explain how future reasoning will avoid the kinds of errors and blind spots that undermined past decisions. This would also lay out an optimistic roadmap for coexisting with multiple forms of intelligence.

In short: if AI alignment is about aligning with human values, then we actually need to articulate those values clearly, publicly, and rigorously. Why haven’t we started?



Jul 5, 2025

index

Homepage Belief Directory

Tier 1: Hot Debates (Traffic & Engagement)

Politics & Governance

  • Universal basic income will be essential soon in the 21st century.
  • Voter ID laws don’t undermine democracy.
  • Hate speech should be banned online.
  • Gun ownership is a fundamental American right.
  • Government must regulate to prevent climate change.
  • Prisons should focus on rehabilitation.

Love, Sex & Relationships

  • Open relationships are not healthier than monogamy.
  • Men and women communicate fundamentally differently.
  • Dating apps hurt long-term relationships.
  • Consent must be verbal and ongoing.
  • Pornography damages relationships.
  • Marriage is not an outdated institution.

Identity & Social Conflict

  • Saying that gender is shaped by society in addition to biology doesn’t mean society should change.
  • Affirmative action is fine in places that support it but maybe counterproductive in other places. Thinking strategically and long-term are not evil.
  • Cancel culture endangers free speech.
  • Neurodiversity should be celebrated.
  • Cultural appropriation is not oppressive.
  • People should live free from racial and gender stereotypes.

Tier 2: Belief Building Blocks (ISE Education Layer)

Morality & Ethics

  • Eating meat is morally wrong.
  • Lying is justified to protect others’ feelings.
  • Wealth inequality is ethically unacceptable.
  • Animals deserve legal rights.
  • Stealing is moral if it feeds a starving child.
  • Corporations have a duty to fight climate change.

Knowledge & Truth

  • Astrology has no scientific basis.
  • Most conspiracy theories are harmful and irrational.
  • Scientific consensus outweighs personal experience.
  • Humans are poor judges of truth due to cognitive bias.
  • Social media must label misinformation.
  • Critical thinking should replace memorization in schools.

Tier 3: What Should I Buy? (Product-Focused Categories)

Consumer Products & Spending

  • Apple makes the best smartphones.
  • Budgeting apps improve financial habits.
  • Expensive products aren’t always better.
  • Ethical consumption can change the world.
  • Subscription models are often wasteful.
  • Amazon is too convenient to boycott.

Health & Wellness

  • Meditation is more effective than therapy for anxiety.
  • Supplements are mostly pseudoscience.
  • Sugar is more addictive than cocaine.
  • Walking is as good as gym workouts.
  • Mental health apps are valid therapy alternatives.
  • Fasting improves mental clarity.

Technology & Innovation

  • AI will replace more jobs than it creates.
  • Tech monopolies should be broken up.
  • Cryptocurrency is a scam.
  • Smart home devices invade privacy.
  • VR will revolutionize education.
  • Transhumanism is the next step in evolution.

Lifestyle & Values

  • Minimalism leads to greater happiness.
  • Hustle culture is toxic.
  • Everyone should pursue early retirement.
  • Luxury spending is morally neutral.
  • Time is more valuable than money.
  • Self-discipline is the key to success.

Tier 4: Personal Reflection

Religion & Spirituality

  • Karma is a real force in the universe.
  • Prayer changes real-world outcomes.
  • Religion causes most global conflicts.
  • All religions contain the same core truths.
  • Atheism is the most rational belief system.
  • Spirituality and science are compatible.

The homepage belief directory has been updated with your latest set of specific statements, reflecting nuanced and engaging perspectives. Each entry can now serve as a compelling entry point into a broader topic and support continuum-based navigation.

Would you like to:

  • Design how the continuum or opposite belief navigation works?
  • Tag beliefs with values, evidence types, or emotional tones?
  • Start building out argument trees or product pairings for specific beliefs?

Jun 1, 2025

Why Public Debate Feels Like a Construction Site From Hell (And How We Can Fix It)

Picture this: You're trying to build a house, but there's no blueprint. Workers are swinging hammers at each other instead of nails. Some are measuring in feet, others in meters, and one guy insists on using ancient cubits. The "expert" architects are shouting advice from the parking lot, but nobody's listening because the loudest worker gets all the attention—even though his foundation is completely crooked.

This is exactly what public debate looks like in 2025.

The Problem: We Have All the Materials, Zero Architecture

We're drowning in information, passionate citizens, and platforms to share ideas. But we have no system for organizing these resources into something useful. Instead, we get:

  • The same arguments repeated endlessly across platforms
  • Evidence scattered across thousands of disconnected conversations
  • Misinformation competing equally with rigorous research
  • Debates that reset every news cycle without making progress
  • Expert knowledge ignored in favor of whoever shouts loudest

Sound familiar? That's because our "information ecosystem" is actually just a chaotic construction site where everyone's building different things with no coordination.

The Solution: What If We Built Debate Infrastructure Like We Build Cities?

Enter the Idea Stock Exchange (ISE) - a platform that applies the same organizational principles that make financial markets work to public reasoning. Instead of trading stocks, we trade evidence and arguments to build reliable knowledge.

Here's how it transforms the chaos:

🏗️ Blueprints for Beliefs

No more endless duplicates. Smart algorithms cluster similar ideas together. "Raise minimum wage," "Higher wages help workers," and "Workers deserve living wages" all feed into one master discussion with all the evidence in one place.

🔗 Structural Engineering for Arguments

Every argument explicitly connects to what it's supposed to prove, with scored links showing relevance and impact. No more floating claims that don't actually support anything.

📊 Quality Control That Actually Works

A comprehensive "ReasonRank" system scores evidence based on methodology, peer review, expert consensus, and logical validity. Quality research rises to the top; misinformation sinks.

🎯 Impact Analysis Built In

Before any major policy position gains traction, it goes through structured cost-benefit analysis. Who wins? Who loses? By how much? With what probability?

🧩 Smart Issue Breakdown

Complex questions like "Should we have universal healthcare?" get systematically decomposed into manageable sub-questions that can be researched in parallel.

Expert Integration

Domain specialists contribute through embedded workflows, with their expertise properly weighted and protected from misrepresentation.

🏆 Incentives That Reward Truth-Building

Your reputation score depends on the accuracy and quality of your contributions, not how many likes you get for being provocative.

The Result: Precision Civic Engineering

Instead of chaotic hammering and shouting, we get systematic construction of public understanding. Step-by-step progress on complex issues. Professional tools and processes for intellectual work.

This isn't just "better conversation" on social media. This is building the infrastructure democracy needs to handle 21st-century challenges.


The ISE is still in development, but the blueprint is clear: We can transform public reasoning from destructive chaos into coordinated construction. We just need to start building the right infrastructure.

What do you think? Are you ready to trade your hammer for blueprints?