Some argue that caution or perceived weakness set the U.S. back in World War I and II. However, our subsequent military engagements in the Cold War, Korea, Vietnam, Iraq, Afghanistan, South America, and Kosovo reveal the devastating financial and human costs of overconfidence and an undue reliance on power. These conflicts serve as stark warnings about the dangers of U.S. hegemony.
The Importance of Doubting Ourselves
Rather than swinging between extremes (i.e., too little or too much power) or forcing different challenges into a single narrative, the U.S. should evaluate each situation individually. Each issue demands a careful assessment of its specific costs, benefits, and risks. The strength of our conclusions and the effectiveness of our plans should be directly tied to the quality of the evidence that either supports or undermines them. Reflecting on Oppenheimer's legacy and the resources squandered in these conflicts, we recognize the waste that comes from applying outdated solutions to new problems.
When asked, "Mr. President, do you think God is on our side?" Lincoln wisely replied, "My concern is not whether God is on our side; my greatest concern is to be on God's side, for God is always right." This perspective emphasizes the need for self-scrutiny and systematically evaluates each action's pros, cons, costs, and benefits.
Open, Honest Conflict Resolution and Cost-Benefit Analysis
While defeating an enemy may sometimes be unavoidable, a lasting solution requires a more nuanced approach. We must confront harmful ideologies in our society and our adversaries. This effort's essential tools are open conflict resolution and cost-benefit analysis. Resorting to one-sided propaganda is not a sustainable long-term strategy. Every idea, even honest versions of those from our adversaries, deserves thorough scrutiny through conflict resolution and cost-benefit analysis.
The Best Path to a Peaceful World
Our commitment to openness, transparency, and rational thinking aligns with our democratic principles and provides the best route to a peaceful world. The real battle is against error, not terror or against those we label as enemies. As J. Reuben Clark said, "If we have the truth, it cannot be harmed by investigation. If we have not the truth, it ought to be harmed."
Conclusion
Power is not an ultimate safety solution. Power has the potential to corrupt, and unchecked power corrupts absolutely. The U.S. cannot impose a world order without convincing others that our choices are sound. As history has shown, failure to understand this will lead to repeated, costly mistakes. It's time to explore alternative strategies that better align with our core values of openness and reason, offering a more sustainable path forward.
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